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 Thursday, April 14, 2005

History Repeats Itself: Lessons of Iraq NEVER Learnt

  by

William R. Polk

Other Breaking News
  • IRAQ: AT least 11 people have been killed and 35 wounded in a double suicide car bombing against an Iraqi highway protection force convoy in Baghdad, an Interior Ministry source said.The latest attack occurred at 10am (1600 AEST) in an area where the unoccupied Australian embassy, Baghdad University, an abandoned Interior Ministry building and hotels popular with westerners are located.Read here for more

  • IRAQ:The Indiana man shown with gun-toting captors in a videotape Wednesday is a 47-year-old businessman who went to Iraq to provide drinking water to its people.Jeffrey Ake, ashen-faced and shaken, appeared in a grainy video on the Arab satellite network Al-Jazeera, clutching what looked like a photo and an identification card.Read here for more

  • USA: President Bush yesterday likened the toppling of Saddam Hussein's statue in Baghdad two years ago to the fall of the Berlin Wall and called it part of a "global democratic revolution." Mr. Bush told 25,000 cheering soldiers on a sun-drenched field. "Many of you have recently returned from Iraq. Others are preparing to head out this fall -- some for a second tour of duty. Whether you're coming or going, you are making an enormous difference for the security of our nation and for the peace of the world." Read here for more

  • UK:From boots to baseball caps, the Caterpillar fashion range is marketed as upmarket outdoor wear for label-conscious youth. But customers are now being urged to boycott the construction and clothing company because it supplies bulldozers to the Israeli government, which uses the vehicles to destroy Palestinian homes, roads and olive groves. They have also been used to build the controversial "security wall" which has attracted international opprobrium.Read here for more

  • The Netherlands: Dutch airline KLM has demanded the US explain how it gained insight into passenger details of a flight US authorities turned back from its airspace despite the fact it was not scheduled to land on American territory.KLM said on Monday US authorities are not allowed to have access to passenger details on flights that do not land in America. The airline said US authorities are only given restricted access to details on US-bound flights.Read here for more

  • Palestinian Territory: ANGRY Palestinian leader Mahmud Abbas has accused Ariel Sharon of trying to undermine his authority at the Israeli prime minister's summit with US President George W. Bush.As Israeli officials tried to downplay differences with Washington exposed during the summit in Texas, Abbas said he was “astonished” by Mr Sharon's “campaign against the Palestinian Authority during (his) visit to the United States”.Read here for more

  • China/Japan: A ROW between Japan and China intensified yesterday as Tokyo took steps towards granting Japanese companies the right to test-drill for oil and gas in a disputed area of the East China Sea. China protested furiously. Defence analysts believe that by giving Japanese companies the right to send in drilling ships, the chances of a clash possibly involving naval patrol boats, are now much higher. Read here for more



  • Read here full article "The Lessons of Iraq We Refuse to Learn" by William Polk

    (Mr. Polk taught at Harvard from 1955 to 1961 when he was appointed a member of the Policy Planning Council of the US State Department. In 1965 he became professor of history at the University of Chicago and founded its Middle Eastern Studies Center. Subsequently, he also became president of the Adlai Stevenson Institute of International Affairs. Among his books are The United States and the Arab World, The Elusive Peace: The Middle East in the Twentieth Century, Neighbors and Strangers: the Fundamentals of Foreign Affairs and the just-published Understanding Iraq. )

    April 14, 2005

    Edited article:

    Are there any lessons to be learned by the American venture into Iraq?

    Writing about the Vietnam war, the neo-conservative American political scientist Samuel P. Huntington suggested that it would be best if policy makers “simply blot out of their mind any recollection of this one.”

    It seems to me that they DID.

    So, in at least some ways, the Iraq war has been proof of George Santayana’s admonition that, having done so, we were doomed to repeat it.

    The urgent question today is, will the Iraq war itself be similarly blotted out and similarly repeated?

    Mr. Huntington’s argument was based on the notion that Vietnam was unique since, as he saw it, imperialism and colonialism have “just about disappeared from world politics.” That is, they were fading memories of a now irrelevant past.

    But is this true?

    Foreign domination has faded from our memory but NOT from the memories of many of the peoples of Asia and Africa.

    FOCUS ON IRAQ

    Iraq became “independent” by treaty with Britain in 1922.

    Then it became “independent” by recognition of the League of Nations in 1932. But few Iraqis believe that it became really independent by either of these acts.

    Britain controlled the economy and maintained a military presence while it continued to rule Iraq behind a façade of governments it had appointed. It then reoccupied the country during World War II. After the war it ruled through a proxy until he was overthrown in 1958.

    So was 1958 the date of independence?

    On the surface yes, but below the surface American and British intelligence manipulated internal forces and neighboring states to influence or dominate governments; they helped to overthrow the revolutionary government of Abdul Karim Qasim and to install the Baath party which brought Saddam Husain to power.

    Knowing what they had done and fearing that they would do so again, shaped much of the policy even of Saddam Husain.

    By giving or withholding money, arms and vital battlefield intelligence, Britain and America influenced what Saddam thought he could do.

    So worried was he about his American connection that, before he decided to invade Kuwait, he called in the U.S. ambassador to ask, in effect, if the invasion was ok with Washington. Only when he was assured in 1990 that the U.S. had no policy on the frontiers with Kuwait by official testimony before Congress, government press releases and a face-to-face meeting with our ambassador in Baghdad did he act.

    Either he misread the omens or we changed them. Our ambassador later said, incredibly, that we had NOT anticipated that he would take ALL of Kuwait.

    When he did, we invaded, destroyed much of his army and the Iraqi economy and imposed upon the country UN-authorized sanctions and unauthorized “no-fly” zones.

    Finally, in 2003 we invaded again, occupied the country and imposed upon it a government of our choice.

    Whatever the justification for any or all of these actions, they do not add up to independence. So even Iraqis who hated and feared Saddam always felt that they were living under a form of Western control.

    The simple fact is that the “memories” had NOT faded because they were based on current reality.

    There are many things to be said about the American invasion and occupation of Iraq.

    But one thing stands out above all to me as a historian:


  • We were (and I believe still are) ignorant of Iraqi history and culture.

  • More pointedly, we had (and still have) NO sense of how Iraqis saw their own past and their relationships with us. This ignorance has caused us, often inadvertently, to take actions that many or perhaps most Iraqis have read as imperialist.

  • This has been true even of actions that we felt were generous, far-sighted and constructive.
  • CONSTITUTION

    Constitutions are surely “good.”

    We believe that other countries should have them because they are the bedrock of democracy. At the end of the First World War, the British made giving the Iraqis one a high priority.

    Experts were called in, phrases were debated, studies were made of the best then in operation, and finally, in 1924, a wonderful document emerged. It was greeted with great satisfaction but mainly by those who had given it, the British.

    Iraqis paid it little heed because it was not grounded in the realities of Iraqi society, practices or even hopes.

    Time after time, governments came into power that overturned or simply neglected every paragraph it contained.

    So what did the American occupation government do? Was it aware of this history?

    Apparently not.

    It set about writing a new constitution.

    The occupation authorities wrote the constitution without any Iraqi input and just handed it to their appointed interim government.

    That, to my mind, amounted to astonishing insensitivity.

    Somehow it never occurred to the American lawyers who wrote it that it would become worthless, that is, illegal, when the interim administration was replaced by even a quasi-independent government. It was surely the shortest-lived constitution ever written.

    ELECTIONS

    If constitutions are necessary for democracies, elections are even more so.

    Iraq had to have one. Organizing and controlling it turned out to be a difficult task.

    Many Iraqis interpreted “our” election to mean:

    - Not to express a national consensus on democracy,

    - But to solidify our control over the country.

    Because at least some Iraqis were determined to get us out of their country, using guerrilla warfare tactics and terrorism against us and those Iraqis who supported us, we had to use our military forces to set parameters on the issues, the personnel and the form of this expression of freedom.

    The elections were held was hailed as a great victory for democracy.

    I remain unconvinced.

    I suspect that two fatal flaws will soon become evident:

    - A heightening of the divisive tendencies already inherent in Iraqi
    society and

    - A devaluation of the very concept of representative
    government.


    What we have done (is) in the name of security, (but) our critics in Iraq have sought sovereignty. We believed that security had to come first.

    A close reading of history leads me to believe that the order is usually the reverse.

    When foreigners get out, insurgencies stop; they do not stop, no matter how massive the force used against them or how costly in blood and treasure the cost of fighting is, until the foreigners leave. This surely is the lesson of Ireland, Çeçhneya, Algeria, and even of our own Revolution.

    I predict it will be of Iraq too.

    Believing that security comes first has led our government to concentrate on rebuilding an Iraqi army since doing so appeared to offer security at a bargain price.

    But, Iraqis remember the terrible costs to their society of the creation of armies. The one the British created, time after time, subverted or overthrew civil governments. A new army, absent balancing civic institutions, which can grow only slowly and by internal developments, will surely again pave the way for a military dictatorship.

    OTHER LESSONS

    What happened to Iraq showed other governments that they live at the sufferance of the United States. Iraq could not defend itself; nor can most other states.


  • Those that can are those that have the ultimate weapon. Acquisition of even a few nuclear weapons provides “security” because the cost of attacking a power armed with them is too costly.I am told that at least some African, Asian and even European observers believe that if Saddam Husain had waited until he had a nuclear weapon before attacking Kuwait, we would not have gone to war.

  • North Korea today reinforces this assessment. There, we react with anger, economic sanctions and propaganda but NOT with military force. So governments that decide to acquire them (nuclear weapons) naturally try to move with the utmost secrecy and speed.

  • They also usually seek to avoid provocations that might bring down upon them the wrath of the existing nuclear powers. That too is a lesson of Iraq: had Saddam not provided a provocation, we would probably have done nothing.

    Indeed, we were supplying him with the components and equipment to make weapons of mass destruction right up to the time of our intervention.

    Surely, this “lesson” is in the minds of the Persians today as it was in the minds of the Russians, Chinese, Indians, Pakistanis and Israelis.

    Finally, there is a grab-bag of other lessons again laid before us by Iraq:

    1. the first is that war is always unpredictable no matter how powerful the advantages one side seems to have at the beginning;

    2. the second is that they are always horrible. Not only are people killed or severely harmed, but whole societies, even of the victors, are brutalized . This was true of the British in Kenya, the French in Algeria, the Americans in the Philippines, the Russians in Central Asia, and the Chinese in Tibet.

    3. Finally, guerrilla wars are, at best, unwinnable – lasting as in Ireland for centuries and in Algeria for a century and a half. Çeçhneya suffered massacre, deportation, rape and massive destruction for nearly four centuries and still is not “pacified.” No one wins a guerrilla war; both sides lose.
    The only sensible policy is one that aims to stop them not to win them. Hegel and Santayana may be right, we may NOT learn, but certainly, Huntington is wrong in urging that we “blot” the lessons out of our minds.

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